Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.215704 0.250469 0.289090 0.335185 0.388725 0.448984 0.521997
2025-05-04 0.163343 0.210267 0.268000 0.344320 0.442687 0.565395 0.730419
2025-05-11 0.133347 0.184260 0.251462 0.346784 0.478800 0.655633 0.911302
2025-05-18 0.111365 0.163008 0.235180 0.343601 0.502825 0.728867 1.075626
2025-05-25 0.093174 0.143320 0.216937 0.333151 0.512692 0.780722 1.213561
2025-06-01 0.083742 0.134679 0.212837 0.341847 0.550458 0.876321 1.427510
2025-06-08 0.074499 0.124766 0.205058 0.343084 0.575744 0.954503 1.622859
2025-06-15 0.067811 0.117901 0.200945 0.349178 0.608868 1.048161 1.854438
2025-06-22 0.059822 0.107691 0.189840 0.341693 0.617433 1.100819 2.021135
2025-06-29 0.053750 0.099984 0.181955 0.338566 0.632743 1.166142 2.217522
2025-07-06 0.049287 0.094584 0.177417 0.340729 0.657547 1.250758 2.459364
2025-07-13 0.047234 0.093402 0.180383 0.357141 0.710869 1.394040 2.831103
2025-07-20 0.044709 0.091091 0.181112 0.369662 0.758890 1.534281 3.218305
2025-07-27 0.042115 0.088338 0.180679 0.379867 0.803683 1.673858 3.623598
2025-08-03 0.039034 0.084179 0.176891 0.382587 0.833100 1.785213 3.983245
2025-08-10 0.035713 0.079093 0.170568 0.379072 0.848595 1.868801 4.292643
2025-08-17 0.032080 0.072879 0.161122 0.367531 0.844884 1.910097 4.511645
2025-08-24 0.030526 0.071116 0.161130 0.377135 0.890015 2.065060 5.014309
2025-08-31 0.028492 0.068002 0.157755 0.378501 0.916098 2.179426 5.434850
2025-09-07 0.027018 0.066020 0.156724 0.385232 0.955686 2.329867 5.963284
2025-09-14 0.024707 0.061749 0.149850 0.376965 0.957545 2.389733 6.271160
2025-09-21 0.022909 0.058534 0.145147 0.373511 0.971018 2.479689 6.668667
2025-09-28 0.021601 0.056400 0.142852 0.375900 0.999763 2.611501 7.194706